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Thread: 📈Form Table Thread

  1. #11
    The only table that matters is the league table and we're 15th which is poor. That said it's still relatively early days so a couple of wins could make all the difference.

  2. #12
    Join Date
    Sep 2003
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    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    I would tend to agree, we really need to win today because the remaining fixtures this month are not going to be easy and we need to go into those games with some confidence in the changing room. A defeat today and things could be very glum indeed as we head into October.
    Agreed. We could certainly do without losing anyway, because a defeatt would inevitably put the manager and players under increasing pressure. It's impossible to dispute that.

  3. #13
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
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    So a 1-1 draw sees us dropping 4 places in the form table to 12th based on last 6 games with 7 points gained from a possible 18 and a ppg of 1.17.

    Positives: Only one defeat in those 6 games.
    Negatives: Only one win in those 6 games.

    https://thefishy.co.uk/formtable.php?table=5

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  4. #14
    Join Date
    Jan 2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    So a 1-1 draw sees us dropping 4 places in the form table to 12th based on last 6 games with 7 points gained from a possible 18 and a ppg of 1.17.

    Positives: Only one defeat in those 6 games.
    Negatives: Only one win in those 6 games.

    https://thefishy.co.uk/formtable.php?table=5

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    Exactly as predicted this morning and in line with Ardleys long term ppg average, expect things to look worse after the next two games against teams at the top
    Come on lads hes not turning anything around is he lets be honest

  5. #15
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
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    I should be working but it's monday and I'm struggling for motivation, a little like Notts really, so I've done some maths instead. Apologies to those in advance who don't find this interesting.

    Based on the last 5 seasons it seems 75 points in this league will get you in the top 7, so a play off spot. I thoink at the beginning of the season and maybe even now most of us would be ecstatic with that so I have used this points total as a minimum benchmark.

    The chart below will plot the points gained vs points needed in order to achieve 75 points.

    Some key data:
    Starting from now we will need a points per game average of 1.78.
    Ardley's PPG average in total as a manager currently stands at 1.23
    Ardley's PPG average so far with Notts is 0.98
    Ardley's PPG average so far this season is 1.10

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    Attached Images Attached Images  

  6. #16
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    Feb 2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    I should be working but it's monday and I'm struggling for motivation, a little like Notts really, so I've done some maths instead. Apologies to those in advance who don't find this interesting.

    Based on the last 5 seasons it seems 75 points in this league will get you in the top 7, so a play off spot. I thoink at the beginning of the season and maybe even now most of us would be ecstatic with that so I have used this points total as a minimum benchmark.

    The chart below will plot the points gained vs points needed in order to achieve 75 points.
    Stuff that - what do we need for safety? ICBA to update my table from last season.

  7. #17

    Good and useful post

    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    I should be working but it's monday and I'm struggling for motivation, a little like Notts really, so I've done some maths instead. Apologies to those in advance who don't find this interesting.

    Based on the last 5 seasons it seems 75 points in this league will get you in the top 7, so a play off spot. I thoink at the beginning of the season and maybe even now most of us would be ecstatic with that so I have used this points total as a minimum benchmark.

    The chart below will plot the points gained vs points needed in order to achieve 75 points.

    Some key data:
    Starting from now we will need a points per game average of 1.78.
    Ardley's PPG average in total as a manager currently stands at 1.23
    Ardley's PPG average so far with Notts is 0.98
    Ardley's PPG average so far this season is 1.10

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    Great post. Could you add to the graph the number of points needed to avoid relegation then all we have to do is stay above the lower line and with a bit of luck get above the top line

  8. #18
    Join Date
    Jun 2003
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    17,370
    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    I should be working but it's monday and I'm struggling for motivation, a little like Notts really, so I've done some maths instead. Apologies to those in advance who don't find this interesting.

    Based on the last 5 seasons it seems 75 points in this league will get you in the top 7, so a play off spot. I thoink at the beginning of the season and maybe even now most of us would be ecstatic with that so I have used this points total as a minimum benchmark.

    The chart below will plot the points gained vs points needed in order to achieve 75 points.

    Some key data:
    Starting from now we will need a points per game average of 1.78.
    Ardley's PPG average in total as a manager currently stands at 1.23
    Ardley's PPG average so far with Notts is 0.98
    Ardley's PPG average so far this season is 1.10
    So 64 points needed from 36 games.
    Possible combinations.....

    W21 D1 L14
    W20 D4 L12
    W19 D7 L10
    W18 D10 L8
    W17 D13 L6
    W16 D16 L4
    W15 D19 L2
    W14 D22 L0

    We seem to be draw specialists under Ardley, but you can't see us losing less than 8. Winning 18 and drawing 10 is probably our best hope, barely realistic and will only look harder with every game we don't win.

  9. #19
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
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    7,329
    Ok, so having a quick look over the last 5 seasons anything between 45 and 50 points gets you fourth from bottom, we need to finish fifth from bottom to be safe so I have based the following on assuming 50 pts needed for safety.

    That's a PPG average of 1.09 over the season and a PPG average needed from now of 1.08.

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  10. #20
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    23,160
    Great work to give us a simple visual to monitor. Thanks for the effort!

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