First league match preview of the season. I’ll be doing score predictions as well based on an algorithm I’ve been trialling that betting companies use which should be a laugh!
https://www.nottscountystats.com/pos...ver-athletic-a
First league match preview of the season. I’ll be doing score predictions as well based on an algorithm I’ve been trialling that betting companies use which should be a laugh!
https://www.nottscountystats.com/pos...ver-athletic-a
First stats report of the season, not much to go on but have started the player ratings calculations
https://www.nottscountystats.com/post/match-1-dover-athletic-a
Thanks for this as usual. As I mentioned in a previous post it would be good to a see a graph with a line showing our league position last season compared to this.
I presume after yesterday’s game we are in a similar league position as last seasons opening away defeat to Eastleigh?
The opposition usually seem to have more dangerous attacks than us in games, IIRC from last season - which seems a more telling stat than possession.
What I’d love to know is what’s the actual definition of a dangerous attack? After all, Dover had more attacks and dangerous attacks than us, yet we had more efforts on/off target.
According to the source I use for those stats an attack is counted every time a team advances with the ball. It becomes a dangerous attacking when they are advancing into vulnerable areas of the opposition territory, ie final third or threatening the opposition box. A dangerous attack could result in a goal, equally it can come to nothing. For example, a player might break down the wing in the opposition half and that would count as a dangerous attack. He might get held up so the attack falters but then he manages to break again so another dangerous attack. A defender blocks him and puts the ball out for a throw in. If the throw in is in a vulnerable area then that is classed as a dangerous attack etc etc.
The correlation between dangerous attacks and possession is an interesting one. Notts for example as a passing team (?) will take longer to mount a dangerous attack because they tend to pass the ball around the back a few times before advancing. A more direct team will take less time to launch a dangerous attack so are more likely to have more of them, but you could argue it’s all about quality not quantity?