The only table that matters is the league table and we're 15th which is poor. That said it's still relatively early days so a couple of wins could make all the difference.
So a 1-1 draw sees us dropping 4 places in the form table to 12th based on last 6 games with 7 points gained from a possible 18 and a ppg of 1.17.
Positives: Only one defeat in those 6 games.
Negatives: Only one win in those 6 games.
https://thefishy.co.uk/formtable.php?table=5
I should be working but it's monday and I'm struggling for motivation, a little like Notts really, so I've done some maths instead. Apologies to those in advance who don't find this interesting.
Based on the last 5 seasons it seems 75 points in this league will get you in the top 7, so a play off spot. I thoink at the beginning of the season and maybe even now most of us would be ecstatic with that so I have used this points total as a minimum benchmark.
The chart below will plot the points gained vs points needed in order to achieve 75 points.
Some key data:
Starting from now we will need a points per game average of 1.78.
Ardley's PPG average in total as a manager currently stands at 1.23
Ardley's PPG average so far with Notts is 0.98
Ardley's PPG average so far this season is 1.10
So 64 points needed from 36 games.
Possible combinations.....
W21 D1 L14
W20 D4 L12
W19 D7 L10
W18 D10 L8
W17 D13 L6
W16 D16 L4
W15 D19 L2
W14 D22 L0
We seem to be draw specialists under Ardley, but you can't see us losing less than 8. Winning 18 and drawing 10 is probably our best hope, barely realistic and will only look harder with every game we don't win.
Ok, so having a quick look over the last 5 seasons anything between 45 and 50 points gets you fourth from bottom, we need to finish fifth from bottom to be safe so I have based the following on assuming 50 pts needed for safety.
That's a PPG average of 1.09 over the season and a PPG average needed from now of 1.08.
Great work to give us a simple visual to monitor. Thanks for the effort!