Originally Posted by
Don Julio
Hmmm. An interesting stat but not cut and dried I don't think. For at least 2 reasons:
1. The underlying text says, "Figures for Influenza and Pneumonia represent where either of these causes have been mentioned anywhere on the death certificate meaning they will not neccessarily be the underlying cause of death". Various things come out of that, including that these are not just flu deaths, but include pneumonia. Related to which,
2. Following the recent changes to how COVID deaths are registered, anyone dying more than 28 days after testing positive for COVID is no longer registered as a COVID death. So you might expect to see an increase in deaths recorded under related causes such as pneumonia. That possibility might be seen as borne out by the fact that flu and pneumonia deaths are up compared to the norm for the time of year.
All of which means it's very hard to tell. But there's no doubt the death rate has come down enormously since the peak. As said before, I think it will only be at the end of the year when we have the total excess deaths number that we'll be able to see the overall impact of COVID.
As you were.