Originally Posted by
Elite_Pie
The by-election result will definitely be a disaster for the Tories, but whether it's a humiliating 'win by a slim majority' moderate disaster, or a potentially catastrophic 'lose the seat' disaster remains to be seen. I've been following the betting, and the Lib Dems went to marginal favourites at one time, but this morning the Tories were odds on to the retain the seat. Current odds with only 20 minutes to go, presumably based on exit polls, have the Lib Dems as strong favourites at a general 4/7.
Exit polls have usually been more reliable than pre-vote polls, so I'm hoping Boris gets a kick where it really hurts.