Valance and Whitty

[Returnofrros]

This is not a prediction speech.

Is this the dodgey Iraq dossier for 2020?

Honestly think it is.

[Deeranged]

This is not a prediction speech.

Is this the dodgey Iraq dossier for 2020?

Honestly think it is.

There COULD be 50,000 new cases per day by mid October and there COULD be more than 200 deaths per day by November.

So there COULD be a 0.4% mortality rate by November - a statistically insignificant number. How many people die in the UK on a typical November day from complications due to flu or colds, pneumonia, heart disease, cancer etc? will that 200 make a dent in that number? Why are we not under house arrest every time there's a stomach bug doing the rounds? Are these viruses not spread in pretty much the same way and, in the right circumstances, can these not also be fatal?

What they fail to mention is that there COULD just as easily be 5,000 new cases per day by mid October and there COULD just as easily be less than 20 deaths per day by November. But let's assume the worst, just in case, then nobody can say we didn't act.

It's a genuine scandal and it's happening right now.

[Deeranged]

Just checked

Over 540,000 deaths in England and Wales in 2018 which is roughly averaged at 1,480 per day.

Worst case scenario 200 more is a 13% increase - worst case which as we learned in the first wave won't even be close to the real figure, more like 4% - 5%. Many of which COULD (their favourite word) have got flu / stomach bug and COULD have died anyway.

[Returnofrros]

Just checked

Over 540,000 deaths in England and Wales in 2018 which is roughly averaged at 1,480 per day.

Worst case scenario 200 more is a 13% increase - worst case which as we learned in the first wave won't even be close to the real figure, more like 4% - 5%. Many of which COULD (their favourite word) have got flu / stomach bug and COULD have died anyway.

And an estimated 35% of positives tests are false positives........so there COULD be 90%

[Deeranged]

And an estimated 35% of positives tests are false positives........so there COULD be 90%

Surely the world beating test system isn't producing positive results for even the common cold? Or even in some cases where there's nothing even there?

But it's world beating, useless but world beating.

[Mudskipper]

F##k me even Piers Morgan is finally calling Dr Hillary out ,car crash this morning....

[islaydarkblue]

And an estimated 35% of positives tests are false positives........so there COULD be 90%

There is an reticle in last Sunday’s Sunday Times dated 20th September 2020 about a Covid-19 testing lab in County Antrim, Northern Ireland which according to staff giving preferential treatment to Premiership rugby clubs whose tests are being flown in by helicopter every week and being given priority status.
This laboratory Randox Laboratories is the biggest Covid-19 testing laboratory in the UK and is responsible for a quarter of the Community tests across the UK. Last March it won a £133 million testing contract unopposed.
On September 2 the same day as it voided 12,401 tests without explanation, Randox said it was “delighted“ to sign a new deal to screen airline travellers to Dubai. This article is on the front page of the Sunday Times.
Interestingly there has been no mention which lab has been testing SPFL players, declaring them that they were positive for the Covid-19 virus yet a further NHS test was negative and these players should not have had to self isolate.
How many other ‘positive’ tests are wrong which is causing unnecessary panic throughout the UK.



N 2nd September