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Thread: O/T:- Covid Trump

  1. #101
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    11,097
    Quote Originally Posted by BigFatPie View Post
    The polls were spot on in the midterms a couple of years ago, and they weren’t as far out as a lot of people seem to think in 2016. If you don’t take them into account when betting on this market you’re a bit daft imo.

    I suppose we’ll soon see if it’s ‘too close to call’. There’s not much evidence of that, and I don’t see any reason why the polls will be that far out. For all Biden’s shortcomings, Trump has been a truly dreadful President.
    There seems to be a lot of evidence for that at the moment, Trump will probably lose but the opinion polls once again have been way off
    target. He is doing far better than predicted. But I agree he is a dreadful president.
    Opinion polls over the last few years have been mainly rubbish.

  2. #102
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
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    6,082
    Quote Originally Posted by BigFatPie View Post
    Harris is basically saying that Trump’s a ****, but his appeal is that he doesn’t judge you for being a ****.
    Not sure that's quite what he meant, but if you can make the leap to thinking that not ALL Trump voters are cruel or stupid, or both, then it's a start towards improving what he calls (correctly in my view) the sanctimonious left.

  3. #103
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
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    6,082
    Quote Originally Posted by LaxtonLad View Post
    And we on NM are all familiar with the 25th amendment, aren't we?
    If you type 'Biden 25th amendment' into Google you can find this:

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/seo.mis...en,-and-harris

  4. #104
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Posts
    9,194
    Quote Originally Posted by drillerpie View Post
    Not sure that's quite what he meant, but if you can make the leap to thinking that not ALL Trump voters are cruel or stupid, or both, then it's a start towards improving what he calls (correctly in my view) the sanctimonious left.
    Well whatever happens, you were right to say it’s close.

    Cleverer, more knowledgeable pundits than me can’t work out why people would vote for someone like Trump, so I’m not going to try to analyse it. The guy has just tried to claim victory without millions of votes being counted so how you analyse that I’ve no idea. Owning the libs or something I imagine.

  5. #105
    Join Date
    Jun 2003
    Posts
    17,523
    Matt Bruenig
    @MattBruenig
    · 6h
    According to the exit poll, Trump did better in 2020 with every race and gender except white men.

    Change from 2016:

    White Men -5
    White Women +2
    Black Men +4
    Black Women +4
    Latino Men +3
    Latino Women +3
    Other +5"


    James Lindsay "If this holds up, it's going to mess with the official institutional narrative pretty badly."

  6. #106
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    34,491
    Unfortunately it's looking like a repeat of four years ago - the odds are suggesting that Biden gets most votes, but Trump wins the election.

  7. #107
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    6,657
    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    Unfortunately it's looking like a repeat of four years ago - the odds are suggesting that Biden gets most votes, but Trump wins the election.
    Looking at the jump for Biden in Wisconsin after the postal votes started being counted I would expect that he is now favourite to take that state and Michigan and possibly Georgia which would be more than enough.

    Who knew that all you had to do was simply count all the votes.

  8. #108
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    34,491
    Quote Originally Posted by Mapperleypie View Post
    Looking at the jump for Biden in Wisconsin after the postal votes started being counted I would expect that he is now favourite to take that state and Michigan and possibly Georgia which would be more than enough.

    Who knew that all you had to do was simply count all the votes.
    I hope you're right. I'm watching the betting and Trump was as short as 2/5 an hour ago, now both of them are around evens.

  9. #109
    Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Posts
    6,082
    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    I hope you're right. I'm watching the betting and Trump was as short as 2/5 an hour ago
    Mug punters lumping on Trump after his fake victory speech?

  10. #110
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Posts
    9,194
    Biden the favourite now. He was as long as 7/2 this morning.

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