Other clues - his odds have widened in the betting, Bookies tend to be reasonably smart, though not always right.[/QUOTE]


The bookies are smart because they set their odds with consideration to betting trends, so their odds reflect how much is being placed on any runner. The odds tend to be driven by media hype regarding football managers, a leading outlet, supposedly ITK, will indicate someone is in line for the job, so punters put their money on him leading to his odds tumbling. That is until the next ITK media person tells us that someone else is nailed on. How many strong favourites have we had so far?