In League Two in the last ten years the average number of points needed to finish one point ahead of 4th place was 80.8 points.

82 points were enough in six of the ten seasons.
83 points were enough in seven of the ten seasons.
84 points were enough in eight of the ten seasons.
85 points were enough in nine of the ten seasons.

At our current ratio of points per game we would finish on 85.4 points.