If there is a difference between the actual deaths and the predicted deaths, surely the actions taken must play some part in explaining the difference. I wonder if the actual outcome had been the predicted outcome if we would have done all the stuff that we did? How many illnesses kill more people worldwide and we don't give it a second thought?
The figures and images from India are horrific. I think they provide a good example of what might have happened here if there had been no lockdown or the other preventative measures. Sweden, on the other hand, did not take such a drastic approach as we did and they seem to have a similar result as us.
I keep hoping that those who question the covid response in our country actually have a point because we can't go on shutting things down, IMO.
We’ll never know which country it was best to be in. India looks like it’s having a hard time just now but statistically it’s performed far better than most even if you multiply the deaths by 4 as a factor of error.
I felt from the start they were doing ok because over 45% of the population is under 19 and only 4% over 65 years old. You can’t die of Covid if already dead (except in UK reporting). They also have lots of other disease so immune systems strong in the living, a huge vegetarian population and a lot of natural vitamin D. Only about 1% of their population pay taxes though so things like the health service and sanitation are abysmal for the majority,
I offered to send any protective equipment they needed for a factory I worked with a lot but they didn’t need it and had all necessary items. It will certainly not be the same outside factory gates.
The relatively low death rates will cover the very high positive Covid rates there though and I’m astonished the UK government didn’t close the border to Indians until very recently. Internal research there shows about 40% transmission rates even in rural areas, suggesting upwards of 500 million Indians have or had Covid infection already. And we cheerfully continued to let them come here.