Expect Boris Johnson to visit Ukraine on Friday 24th. It's a 'bad news for the Tories' media muffler.
Wakefield
It looks to be that the Tories will lose here.
Tiverton
At the 2019 General Election the Tories had a majority over Labour of 24,239 with the LibDems in 3rd place 27,086 behind the Tories.
In this by-election the Labour Party is not thought to be in real contention.
The LibDems are thought to be in contention. But their task is to overturn a 27,086 difference in votes between them and the Tories from the 2019 General Election. That is the real number to bear in mind, not the 24,239 that the Tories defeated Labour by in the 2019 General Election.
The Tories can have a very bad result and still hold the seat. Boris Johnson can then call it a triumph and a vindication of this government's policies.
This is the LibDem Tiverton HQ, volunteers ready to go with leaflets and follow-up visits at 5:00am this morning.
This is the Conservative Honiton HQ at 5:00am this morning. Despite an email plea to Tory activists to join a ‘dawn raid’ on by-election day, none showed up at the party’s office at 5am.
Last edited by _Stefan_Kuntz; 23-06-2022 at 07:52 PM.
That's it. The electorate has made its mind up about Boris Johnson. The Conservatives have lost the last 5 electoral contests. Those were 4 by-elections and the Local Authority elections.
There is now an irony. Boris Johnson ignores widely held conventional morals, he changes rules and laws that do not suit him. The irony is that although the rules of the 1922 Committee state that he cannot be subjected to another Vote Of Confidence for almost a year, that does not suit them and they may well change those rules to allow an earlier Vote Of Confidence. That would be very naughty, changing the rules whilst the game is in progress, ironic indeed, foul play, but who gives a fuck in the overall context of Boris Johnson's tsunami of foul play.
I say Carry On Boris, the captain of the ToryTanic who is steering it at full speed towards the iceberg.