I’ve just had a shufti at the final EFL2 league tables for the last 10 or so seasons, a bit like Stefan (?) used to do. I’ve ignored the strange 2019/20 season but in the last 10 the average final points needed to finish just above 23rd place and relegation is 45 points. High was 51 and low 39.

So if we aim for the average we need another 37 points at 1.16 points per game - that’s bottom half of the table form, but no guarantee of staying in the league.
If we aim for the maximum, we need 43 more points at 1.34 points per game, that’s top-half form, and it’s likely we would survive.

Flying pigs anyone?