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Well, they tell a totally different story to some of the polls.
Last edited by SwalePie; 02-12-2024 at 09:56 PM. Reason: Added detail to title for clarity
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Not sure if it's OK to talk about betting on here (disclaimer: I think it's fun but it is a mugs game and a certain percentage of people WILL get addicted to it) but last time I looked the dems were 2/9 to win the popular vote which seemed a good bet to me.
Winner is a coin toss IMO. Last time there was a nice arbitrage to be had on election night itself as the Republican states declare first (stop the count!). I think last time you could've got both candidates at 4/1 in the space of 24 hours.
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Let's not kid ourselves this is a left versus right contest, both sides are pretty awful.
We need to concern ourselves with who is the safest option and least likely to sleepwalk into WWIII, and that's probably Trump. Added to that, Kamala Harris is too reminiscent of the Judge from The Good Place, and she wanted to wipe out the entire human race. On the other hand, a win for Trump means a win for Elon Musk, and the likelihood of Farage becoming even more smug.
Of course, no-one approves of betting (yeah, right) but in terms of likelihood, I would note that Trump did better than the polls suggested last time, a bit like Labour, the Dems have trouble getting the voters out whatever they say to the pollster, and then there's the 'dirty secret' Trump voters to add to the usual redneck suspects.
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Trump seems like the safest option to me and I quite like Elon for buying twitter and resting it away from the wokey anti free speech mob.
Agree with driller re gambling.
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Since when as an out-an-out fascist been the 'the safest option'Originally Posted by maddogslater
The man's a straight up demon. Like with those that voted for Johnson knowing what he was, those who support a convicted felon, shameless liar, fraudster, molestor, knowing what he is, can have no complaints when all those evils arrive at their doors.
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Trump to win? You have to be joking!
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As I have said many times before on here, betting is only a mugs game if you're a mug, but I wouldn't argue when you say a certain percentage of people WILL get addicted to it. It used to be easy to make a profit if you took advantage of the offers, but since affordability checks were introduced those offers have dried up.
Regarding the US election, the betting odds suggest a Trump win. Trump is a general 8/13 (62% probability), Harris is around 13/10 (43% probability). If you think it really is a coin toss, Harris is your value bet but I wouldn't recommend it.
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You lost ALL credibility when you started with 'Since' - the rest of your comment was just blah, blah, blah.Since when as an out-an-out fascist been the 'the safest option'
The man's a straight up demon. Like with those that voted for Johnson knowing what he was, those who support a convicted felon, shameless liar, fraudster, molestor, knowing what he is, can have no complaints when all those evils arrive at their doors.
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I've learned a few things on NCM and one of them is from EP. Bugger the polls and the media, just follow the bookies. I don't gamble, but they seem to know a lot more than everyone else.
I've also learned how to block, which is liberating. Makes the discussions much more enjoyable.
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Bring it on, 😃Since when as an out-an-out fascist been the 'the safest option'
The man's a straight up demon. Like with those that voted for Johnson knowing what he was, those who support a convicted felon, shameless liar, fraudster, molestor, knowing what he is, can have no complaints when all those evils arrive at their doors.
I've heard and like quite a bit from Robert Kennedy Jr and Tulsey Gabbert who are in team Trump.
Harris is a cloan of Sleepy joe and just terrible in so many ways 😴
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