Why we need to finish 3rd...

[memyselfani]

We also didnt finish 3rd the year we went up...Baggies did I think

Wigan & Bournemouth seem to be the form teams...and form tends to come out on top in most stats

[AngryRam]

Aww come on Angry, Im not that much of a shortass

Yeah but you did turn up with Goose in tow... I've no idea where you parked that plane either.

[Fletch_11]

We all know what you look like rog after you put up a picture of yourself holding a fish.

That was a great avatar! I reckon that picture needs to be resurrected for the playoff run in!
Go on Rog, put the picture of you with the massive fish back on!

[Rob_the_Ram]

We also didnt finish 3rd the year we went up...Baggies did I think

Wigan & Bournemouth seem to be the form teams...and form tends to come out on top in most stats

Derby did finish 3rd - 8 points in front of WBA who finished 4th in 2006/7

[Fletch_11]

We also didnt finish 3rd the year we went up...Baggies did I think

Wigan & Bournemouth seem to be the form teams...and form tends to come out on top in most stats

I'm sure we finished 3rd the year we won the playoffs! The baggies finished below us by quite a few points if anyone can confirm it?

[Fletch_11]

We also didnt finish 3rd the year we went up...Baggies did I think

Wigan & Bournemouth seem to be the form teams...and form tends to come out on top in most stats

Derby did finish 3rd - 8 points in front of WBA who finished 4th in 2006/7[/quote]

Cheers for confirming that Rob!

[UpTheRams1884]

We DID finished 3rd when we went up and WBA finished 4th FACT yes you read it right FACT see link below. - view external link

[Toggles]

We all know what you look like rog after you put up a picture of yourself holding a fish.

That was a great avatar! I reckon that picture needs to be resurrected for the playoff run in!
Go on Rog, put the picture of you with the massive fish back on! [/quote]

Wasn't it a random chap with a giant, dead rat?

Or am I missing a sarcastic tone to the 'Fish' posts?

[Rattea]

You don't want third if the team finishing in sixth is a team in a rich vein of form and on the assemdency!!!

To predict what your position is and gives you the best chance at this point is just a lucky dip!

You need to know form, player availability, etc etc.

So the only time is going in to the last game.

Using 3rd has gone up 10 out of 26 times means nothing. You could say that's less than 50% so better off in another position. Just random and not statistical based on anything except those in third are usually better than the teams below bit not always in a playoff position!

Brighton thrashed fester last night. If they win every game and are on fire finishing sixth and us third you still think we stand a better chance?

Interesting logic there Rattea and incorrect also. The team finishing third has the largest s

[Addisons_a_monster]

The stats term would be "mutual exclusivity" - ie the number of teams promoted is 1 out of 4, so the study needs to show the probability of each position having been promoted against the 0.25 chance of it being a playoff.

So in terms of overall probability each team has a 0.25 chance and the third place team has been promoted 0.35 times out of 100 - therefore has a higher probability of promotion than the others individual probabilities - the sum of all possible outcomes MUST add up to 1 but there is mutual exclusivity that 4 and 5 cannot BOTH be promoted.