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Thread: Seat Predictions Next Parliament

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    8,359
    Quote Originally Posted by Romanis View Post
    Let's have a stab at this.
    In the past Parliament the distribution was as follows:

    Conservative. 330
    Labour. 229
    SNP. 54
    Lib Dems. 9
    DUP. 8
    Sinn Fein. 4
    Others. 15
    Vacant. 1

    Total 650 Seats

    My prediction:

    Tory. 396
    Labour. 170
    SNP. 52
    Lib Dems. 16
    Sinn Fein. 3
    Plaid Cymru. 4
    Ulster. Parties. 5
    Green. 2
    Speaker. 1
    Indp. 1

    Total 650.

    Of course things can change. I might change the estimates by June 7th.
    I think a change is needed now as we enter the final furlong.

    Tory 372
    Labour 206
    SNP 51
    LibDems 13
    Sinn Fein 3
    Plaid Cymru 3
    Greens 1
    Speaker 1
    No indp

    Total 650

  2. #2
    Tory 330
    Labour 260
    SNP 50
    LibDems 10
    Others 10

    Total 650

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    8,359
    Quote Originally Posted by KingCharlieGeorge View Post
    Tory 330
    Labour 260
    SNP 50
    LibDems 10
    Others 10

    Total 650
    That's 10 extra seats. So Labour 250 not 260 then

  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Romanis View Post
    That's 10 extra seats. So Labour 250 not 260 then
    Serves me right for using a calculator!

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Posts
    20,956
    **** me what are you like without one?

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    8,359
    Quote Originally Posted by Romanis View Post
    I think a change is needed now as we enter the final furlong.

    Tory 372
    Labour 206
    SNP 51
    LibDems 13
    Sinn Fein 3
    Plaid Cymru 3
    Greens 1
    Speaker 1
    No indp

    Total 650
    Final prediction

    Conservative 348
    Labour 214
    SNP 49
    Lib Dems 15
    Other parties including N. I, Wales 21
    Speaker 1
    Greens 1

    Total 650

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Posts
    20,956
    Can't be arsed to worry about the others, so will go with a 40 seat majority for May.

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