Sorry for the delay animal. Just read this with interest. On the surface the sums presented seem to indicate a convincing argument but as I’m no expert on this it is hard for me to test the data that they (E4FT) present. If I am to give them benefit of the doubt that their sums hold at least some truth, then we could square that circle with the FF article I linked to you which did summarise that “low-wage workers lose while medium and high-paid workers gain” but stressed that overall, the negative difference was “small” and “For both wages and employment, short run effects of immigration differ from long run effects: any declines in the wages and employment of UK-born workers in the short run can be offset by rising wages and employment in the long run.”.
It's a highly complicated discussion and whilst I am willing to look at the E4FT argument, as an average Joe, I am sceptical of their data as they have such a strong bias towards a No Deal Brexit for their own ends, and have been repeatedly taken down more impartial commentators for skewing statistics to favour their arguments. This FT report on the E4FT report for one:
https://www.ft.com/content/9bddba54-...c-25c814761640
I’m all for looking at ways to minimise the impact of immigration, and anything, that has a negative impact on wage and employment standards. In principle I’ve no objection to a ‘green card’ type system, as long as it goes hand in hand with a national policy to build skills and increase wages within capacities that low skilled employers can maintain (i.e. a sizable economic remodelling – if this doesn’t happen, and you just introduce green cards after No Deal, who is going to do the jobs? If wages need improving, how is the employer going to pay for it as most operate on small profit margins already). But as I’ve said, I honestly don’t think that economists like Minford are arguing to enhance the living standards of the average worker: I think the FT article reveals their (and their wealthy sponsors) true motivations, in making the UK a deregulated sweatshop, importing low quality goods at zero tariffs to undercut any UK companies that do uphold employment/consumer/environmental standards.
So I can see some valid arguments in the article but I trust not the authors to skew data for their own ends and exploit either the lay person’s ability to counter I’m more convinced that The Migration Observatory, as an entity offer more impartial perspectives but I understand you may not agree.