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The stats say that someone over 70 is much more likely to need critical care (the risk actually starts to rise at about 60...), irrespective of whether they have underlying health problems. The NHS is highly likely to be overwhelmed in any event and failing to take steps to try to reduce that by isolating higher risk groups will exacerbate the problem.
It's a horrible situation. I was planning a staying visit with an elderly (84 yr old) relative at Easter. I'm really not sure that I should now, even though she says that she isn't worried.
For the very first time we agree on something although under an extremely bad situation .
It's a totally unprecedented situation and something no government could be expected to get through and get everything totally right .
Times such as these in my opinion call for the burying of hatchets and we pull together .
[QUOTE=KerrAvon;39457651] That’s all well and good, but the virus is still there and so lockdown is like pressing on the brake pedal of a car that is freewheeling down a hill. It’s possible to slow it down or even bring it to a halt, but as soon as you lift the lockdown, the brakes come off and down we go.
/QUOTE]
Be interesting to see what happens in Japan, who have coped with the situation better than us so far, when they start lifting the restrictions. They must have already planned the timescale for that.
Last edited by mikemiller; 15-03-2020 at 09:42 PM.
What do you think will happen in a population that still has the virus circulating within it when you lift the restrictions that are reducing the transmission rate?
Interestingly, there is evidence from China that their early lockdown resulted in the virus changing behaviour. Strains that did not produce symptoms until later in the infection were selected for as they had a greater chance of infecting others. In effect, it made the disease more stealthy.