O/T:- Are we over-reacting to COVD19?

[drillerpie]

More on that here:

https://www.channel4.com/news/factch...-19-death-toll

Where's NCFCOG when you need him?

Yeah ncfcog and UTM both seem to be fair minded and switched on people, I'd be happy to trust them with interpretation of stats.

[drillerpie]

Just on a general note I'd be wary of judging the severity of Covid by deaths anyway, especially in the early stage of the outbreak.

The number of people who are not particularly old (say 40+), who don't have pre-existing medical conditions, who don't end up dead, but do have to spend two weeks hooked up to a ventilator in intensive care is very high. Much higher than flu. This kind of explains why the world has shut down and countries are building massive field hospitals as fast as they can.

[Old_pie]

Just on a general note I'd be wary of judging the severity of Covid by deaths anyway, especially in the early stage of the outbreak.

The number of people who are not particularly old (say 40+), who don't have pre-existing medical conditions, who don't end up dead, but do have to spend two weeks hooked up to a ventilator in intensive care is very high. Much higher than flu. This kind of explains why the world has shut down and countries are building massive field hospitals as fast as they can.

I guess one way of looking at the figures is that the health interventions are keeping the death rates around the norm, so far.

[ncfcog]

Yeah ncfcog and UTM both seem to be fair minded and switched on people, I'd be happy to trust them with interpretation of stats.

I started to look at some data this week but things are changing so quickly it's hard to keep up, plus I'm trying to keep a business afloat as well! I've put a datasheet together so will be happy to look at some up to date figures later and see what we can extrapolate from that. There is a theory that if the UK are following Italy on the same path we should hit our peak in two weeks with much fewer deaths, let's hope so. I'll try and have a look later.

[upthemaggies]

I started to look at some data this week but things are changing so quickly it's hard to keep up, plus I'm trying to keep a business afloat as well! I've put a datasheet together so will be happy to look at some up to date figures later and see what we can extrapolate from that. There is a theory that if the UK are following Italy on the same path we should hit our peak in two weeks with much fewer deaths, let's hope so. I'll try and have a look later.

We overtook Italy yesterday in comparison to where they were at the same stage.

[Old_pie]

I started to look at some data this week but things are changing so quickly it's hard to keep up, plus I'm trying to keep a business afloat as well! I've put a datasheet together so will be happy to look at some up to date figures later and see what we can extrapolate from that. There is a theory that if the UK are following Italy on the same path we should hit our peak in two weeks with much fewer deaths, let's hope so. I'll try and have a look later.

Seriously, my comment was 'tongue-in-cheek'. Concentrate on keeping yourself going. However if it all goes t1ts up then do as much analysis as we can absorb!!

I see face masks are now an "in thing". How come the scientists didn't know how far droplets from a sneeze or cough go before now? "Coughs and sneezes spread diseases". (NHS c1946 but never verified since!)

[upthemaggies]

Seriously, my comment was 'tongue-in-cheek'. Concentrate on keeping yourself going. However if it all goes t1ts up then do as much analysis as we can absorb!!

I see face masks are now an "in thing". How come the scientists didn't know how far droplets from a sneeze or cough go before now? "Coughs and sneezes spread diseases". (NHS c1946 but never verified since!)

Nottingham doesn't look too bad compared to many other cities and towns (we're about half-way) but will people be moved to the QMC from other parts of the country (say London) if we've got spare beds or ICU's?

[ncfcog]

Nottingham doesn't look too bad compared to many other cities and towns (we're about half-way) but will people be moved to the QMC from other parts of the country (say London) if we've got spare beds or ICU's?

Probably not until the Nightingale hospital at Excel is full to capacity?

[ncfcog]

Seriously, my comment was 'tongue-in-cheek'. Concentrate on keeping yourself going. However if it all goes t1ts up then do as much analysis as we can absorb!!

I see face masks are now an "in thing". How come the scientists didn't know how far droplets from a sneeze or cough go before now? "Coughs and sneezes spread diseases". (NHS c1946 but never verified since!)

I know mate, don't worry, I need the destraction for a couple of hours a day!