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  1. #1
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1959_60 View Post
    The seven day rolling average for deaths in the UK is 309.29.

    And rising rapidly.
    More FAKE NEWS from one of our resident FAKE NEWS merchants.

    Here is the recent UK 7 day rolling average of "Deaths within 28 days of positive test by date of death", taken from the GOV.UK website.

    Oct 27th...262.6
    Oct 28th...272.9
    Oct 29th...279.9
    Oct 30th...282.0
    Oct 31st...284.6
    Nov 1st....277.0

    The figures are rising, of course they are, the number of deaths from respiratory infections rises every autumn and into winter. On the latest figures, the rate of increase, far from being rapid, seems to have stalled. No doubt the rate will soon rise steadily again, but if the above is a rapid increase, then I'm a fecking pineapple.

  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by sinkov View Post
    More FAKE NEWS from one of our resident FAKE NEWS merchants.

    Here is the recent UK 7 day rolling average of "Deaths within 28 days of positive test by date of death", taken from the GOV.UK website.

    Oct 27th...262.6
    Oct 28th...272.9
    Oct 29th...279.9
    Oct 30th...282.0
    Oct 31st...284.6
    Nov 1st....277.0

    The figures are rising, of course they are, the number of deaths from respiratory infections rises every autumn and into winter. On the latest figures, the rate of increase, far from being rapid, seems to have stalled. No doubt the rate will soon rise steadily again, but if the above is a rapid increase, then I'm a fecking pineapple.
    Fake news?

    Below is the Gov.uk data for the last 7 days (updated today)

    It shows that there were 2246 deaths in the last 7 days (up 588 from last week).

    The 7 day rolling average is 321. That is using YOUR source, Gov.uk.

    For some reason you quoted the figures up to November 1st. I wonder why.....?

    I demand a public apology

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
    Last edited by 1959_60; 06-11-2020 at 10:32 PM.

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1959_60 View Post
    Fake news?

    Below is the Gov.uk data for the last 7 days (updated today)

    It shows that there were 2246 deaths in the last 7 days (up 588 from last week).

    The 7 day rolling average is 321. That is using YOUR source, Gov.uk.

    For some reason you quoted the figures up to November 1st. I wonder why.....?

    I demand a public apology

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
    You say the figures are rising rapidly 59, the GOV.UK figures show they are not.

    The reason I have only quoted up to Nov 1st is because the figures for 'Deaths By Date of Death' take a few days to be collated, and so there is a time lag before they can be considered accurate, OC has already pointed this out, I thought you would have been aware of it as well. Worry not, there is no hiding place, I will revisit the figures again, I check them every day, and if there is a rapid increase it will become evident, at the moment the figures don't show it. Watch this space mon ami.

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by sinkov View Post
    You say the figures are rising rapidly 59, the GOV.UK figures show they are not.

    The reason I have only quoted up to Nov 1st is because the figures for 'Deaths By Date of Death' take a few days to be collated, and so there is a time lag before they can be considered accurate, OC has already pointed this out, I thought you would have been aware of it as well. Worry not, there is no hiding place, I will revisit the figures again, I check them every day, and if there is a rapid increase it will become evident, at the moment the figures don't show it. Watch this space mon ami.
    According to the Gov.uk figures deaths in the last seven days (up to November 6th) were 2246 - up 588 in a week. That is a 35.5% rise in a week.
    For me that is a rapid rise.

    These figures are from the Gov.uk website, which you quoted from using last weeks data.

    Check the link below - I didn't invent the figures. If you dispute them then don't blame me - go on the Gov.uk-Mad website and put them right

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1959_60 View Post
    According to the Gov.uk figures deaths in the last seven days (up to November 6th) were 2246 - up 588 in a week. That is a 35.5% rise in a week.
    For me that is a rapid rise.

    These figures are from the Gov.uk website, which you quoted from using last weeks data.

    Check the link below - I didn't invent the figures. If you dispute them then don't blame me - go on the Gov.uk-Mad website and put them right

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
    The mans not for turning 59 but we know we’re right!

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by oldcolner View Post
    The mans not for turning 59 but we know we’re right!
    Absolutely OC!

    I can't remember if it was Trump or Sinkov who started the craze of saying "Fake News!" and thinking that this automatically won the argument.

    Mind you, it worked for Trump (until this week!)

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1959_60 View Post
    Absolutely OC!

    I can't remember if it was Trump or Sinkov who started the craze of saying "Fake News!" and thinking that this automatically won the argument.

    Mind you, it worked for Trump (until this week!)
    He’s still not convinced it’s not working 59!

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1959_60 View Post
    Absolutely OC!

    I can't remember if it was Trump or Sinkov who started the craze of saying "Fake News!" and thinking that this automatically won the argument.

    Mind you, it worked for Trump (until this week!)
    If you two would just stop posting FAKE NEWS, I wouldn't have to keep pointing it out. Give me a break will you, I have the gees gees to sort out, football to watch, a back bedroom to paint, just stick to the facts, I do have better things to do with my time than keep putting you two back on the straight and narrow.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by oldcolner View Post
    The mans not for turning 59 but we know we’re right!
    You know the old saying OC, when the facts change, I change my mind. I'll be replying to 59 soon on why I have yet to change my mind.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1959_60 View Post
    According to the Gov.uk figures deaths in the last seven days (up to November 6th) were 2246 - up 588 in a week. That is a 35.5% rise in a week.
    For me that is a rapid rise.

    These figures are from the Gov.uk website, which you quoted from using last weeks data.

    Check the link below - I didn't invent the figures. If you dispute them then don't blame me - go on the Gov.uk-Mad website and put them right

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
    Thanks for the link 59, I don't really need it, I have a shortcut to it on my desktop. I can't find any correlation for your figures, could you be more specific and show exactly where you got them from. Thank you.

    This what I have found, (as recommended by OC, I wait 3 days before using the stats, data is still coming in over a period of days, and it takes 3/4 days for the figures to be collated and give an accurate picture, which is, I'm sure, what we both want isn't it....accuracy, not fake news.)

    Deaths by Date of Death, Oct 27th to November 4th.

    27th 262
    28th 271
    29th 294
    30th 312
    31st 282
    1st 317
    2nd 297
    3rd 297
    4th 274

    That last figure is fairly recent and looks suspiciously low to me, I wouldn't be surprised if it was revised upwards, which is why I try not to use the most recent figures and wait a bit longer. You get a more accurate overall picture that way. Nevertheless the figures, while showing the expected and inevitable autumn increase, are NOT increasing rapidly. To be honest 59, those figures surprise me, I was expecting them to be increasing more rapidly. Maybe Boris's Tier System was working more effectively than SAGE realised, it wouldn't be the first time they've got something wrong.

    Incidentally, if you want to know just what a rapid increase looks like, check back to March. The number of deaths went through the 300 barrier on the 25th, the daily total of deaths from then on went, 359, 399, 436, 507, 585. From 302 to 585 in five days.

    This autumn the deaths first went over 300 on October 30th, 312 to be exact, followed by 282, 317, 297, 297, 274. From 312 to 274 in five days. You may consider this a rapid increase 59, I couldn't possibly comment.

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