"Influences on effects of NPIS (lockdown) are non robust and highly sensitive to model specification.
Claimed benefits of lockdown appear grossly exaggerated"
Effects of NPI....A tale of 3 models.
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Over 25 papers now published on lockdowns effectiveness according to a pal of mine.
Couples of quotes.
" there is no evidence that more restrictive nonpharmaceutical interventions contributed substantially to bending the curve of the new cases in England, France, Germany, Iran, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain or USA in early 2020."
European journal of clinical investigation.
"Influences on effects of NPIS (lockdown) are non robust and highly sensitive to model specification.
Claimed benefits of lockdown appear grossly exaggerated"
Effects of NPI....A tale of 3 models.
There are other forums currently discussing how scientists have previously provided hopelessly over inflated numbers of deaths during previous pandemics to justify their existence.
The discredited scientist Neil Ferguson previously stated that Foot and Mouth disease would cause 50,000 deaths ( the actual figure was nearer to 200 deaths).
Bird Flu would result in 2 Million deaths (actual figure 400) or that Swine Flu would case 65,000 deaths (actual figure 457 deaths)
Sir Patrick Vallance who is one of the main U.K. Government advisors on the COVID-19 virus and previously had a top job at Glaxo Smith Kline has also made staggeringly over inflated projections.
When I was a pupil at secondary school we used to speak about mad scientists and now 50 years later I see no reasons to change my views.
" Govt actions such as border closures, full lockdown and a high rate of covid 19 tests were not associated with stastically significant reductions in the number of critical cases or overall mortality"
" Official data from Germany RKI agency suggests strongly that the spread of covid in Germany receded autonomously before any interventions became effective"
University of Regensburg
During the great songs of London was the prime minister at the time not attributed with a quote along the lines of......." I know masks have no effect but I have to be seen to be doing something."
Lol smogs not songs........got a vision of folk doing knees up mother brown in covid mask.
Ooohhh, statistically significant. A term not coined by our governments in relation to the effects of Covid because?
If you answered it's because the effects are not statistically significant you can go to the top of the class; well done.
If you deflected and said but Nicola's got this, you're a cock.
See, that year at the Open University wasn't wasted was it?
Depends,did you read the study,check it was robust,read the peer reviews,and analyse the methodology,or did you read a quote on a website?
If you did the first,it was not a waste of a year,if you did the second,well....
No actually,I don't think it matters in your case,you took a phrase you recognised,and tried to be smart.
That makes you the whole of an ass