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I've heard a few virologists point out in layman's terms that the purpose of a virus is not to kill its host or render that host seriously unwell, because dead or immobile people don't help the virus to spread and thus survive. As a virus evolves, its longevity logically depends on it becoming increasingly transmissible, but gradually less lethal to the host. Therefore, Covid variants could be seen as a comparatively welcome development and a sign that the virus is going through this evolution.
The argument from those advocating tighter restrictions seems to be that the Omicron variant could indeed prove to be less severe, but the number it will infect will nevertheless be so high that even a comparatively small number of hospitalisations will still be a big number, in terms of the NHS's ability to cope. In terms of how to act and when, it then boils down to whether you assume the worst before the facts are known, or wait for the evidence and then respond.
Just listening to the press conference and remarks by Chris Whitty stand out to me - to paraphrase he said that milder symptoms for Omicron in SA likely due to them having experienced a previous wave of Coronavirus and they will have some cross-over prior immunity whereas in Britain our previous wave of Delta we were protected by the vaccine and we don't have the same cross-immunity.
To me a layman this would suggest that unless you have caught and recovered from Covid prior to getting vaccinated you will always be dependant on a vaccine.
This would tie in with the idea of original antigenic sin I have read about.
Before a pile on this isn't anti vaccine as such I assume this is why they are so keen everyone gets boosted.
Happy to be corrected if I misunderstood his comments, but otherwise considering we have had COVID here for getting on two years you would think there would be some cross immunity if they have got cross immunity in SA.
Good posts Riverleeno.
From what we are being told ..... depends who you listen to.
Far too early to know about hospitalization and deaths due to the lag after contracting the disease. It's only been here a couple of weeks so you wouldn't expect many deaths at the moment.
I agree that a lockdown would be bad, what is clear is that herd immunity is on its way as so many get it (78,000 cases today).
Exactly.
Then ask who the real winner is.
Apparently Vaxxed will be producing spike proteins for at least a year before you clear them out, and it will be at least a year after each shot. Signs are that it's accumulative as well, as you'd expect at least to some degree. Unknown territory.
Meawhile Moderna’s chief medical officer Paul Burton has warned that the combination of the Delta and Omicron Covid variants, which may result from a person contracting both at the same time, could create a new, more dangerous strain."
I was listening to an MD the other night who predicted Omicron won't be so much of an issue for vaxxed but Delta will continue to evade any protection they have.
Exactly how I read it, the more transmissible they are the more mild they become,like all other viruses. Bojo has one thing on his mind and that is to make sure the NHS doesn't completely fall apart under his watch. However that was always going to happen even without Covid. My worry is the 6 million on the waiting list now and 300,000 waiting over a YEAR!!! for treatment. Covid will kill more people who haven't caught it than it does those that have!!
Going back to the thread topic, has it been confirmed clearly whether the rule is based on capacity or expected attendance? I've lost track of this I'm afraid.