Scenario 1)
Russia completes its aims, demilitarising Ukraine.
Winners
USA, Massive Arms contracts as Europe invests heavily in defence. Able to pull back forces from Europe
China, more trade from Russia, India staying neutral will be a transit hub east to west
Losers
Europe, Ukraine - gone
Scenario 2)
Somehow Ukraine survives
Winners
USA, Massive Arms contracts as Europe invests heavily in defence.
China, more trade from Russia, India staying neutral will be a transit hub east to west
Losers
Europe, Ukraine needing generations to recover