How many Conservative MPs are nominating each leadership candidate?

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

The entry requirement into the contest is 100 nominations. There are 360 Tory MPs, so the maximum number of participants will be 3. No MP can nominate more than 1 candidate.

Overall Count Thus Far (updated when any Conservative MP nominates a candidate) :- https://order-order.com/2022/10/20/w...sheet-returns/

Carlisle Conservative MP John Stevenson has nominated Rishi Sunak.

To clarify, this is not the actual Conservative leadership election. It is the process of deciding who can take part in the leadership election. This nomination stage closes at 2:00pm on Monday.

[howoldboy]

The entry requirement into the contest is 100 nominations. There are 360 Tory MPs, so the maximum number of participants will be 3. No MP can nominate more than 1 candidate.

Overall Count Thus Far (updated when any Conservative MP nominates a candidate) :- https://order-order.com/2022/10/20/w...sheet-returns/

Carlisle Conservative MP John Stevenson has nominated Rishi Sunak.

To clarify, this is not the actual Conservative leadership election. It is the process of deciding who can take part in the leadership election. This nomination stage closes at 2:00pm on Monday.

Thanks for the link Stefan.

I see it didn't take long for Mad Nad to get under BJ again.

She will definitely hoping for a second coming.

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

At the time of this post 10 whips are nominating Johnson and no whips are nominating anyone else. That is ominous for the real contest. The 'persuaders' are presumably on Johnson's side.

[griff]

For the Tories, three candidates with more than 100 nominees deciding to stand would be a disaster as it would allow Labour (and the rest of the country) to point at the eventual winner and simply point out that the majority of Conservative MPs were against them. BJ has form, Mordaunt is nothing more than a narcissist and Sunak would be poor at the dispatch box.

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

Nightmare scenario for the Conservatives would be if there were 5 putative candidates and nay c­unt got 100 nominations to go into the Conservative leaders­hit e­rection.

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

It looks as though Sunak and Johnson will be the only ones reach the necessary 100 nominations to qualify for the leadership election.

Only if there are 3 qualifying candidates would a vote of Conservative MPs take place. This is unlikely.

So the issue will go straight to the Conservative Party membership. We know that they will find Sunak guilty of bringing down Johnson and guilty of not being white, so it seems to be very highly likely that this month's leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister will be Boris Johnson.

However, he has problems. He has to face a House Of Commons Privileges Committee enquiry which will almost certainly find him guilty of deliberately misleading Parliament. After such a verdict and a punishment of being banned from the House for more than 10 days he can be dismissed from Parliament and a by-election called in Uxbridge, which he would almost certainly lose if he was allowed to take part in it. Of course the verdict of the House Of Commons Privileges Committee will be guilty and the sentence will be that he be banned for 10 days. He tends to be able to 'fix' things like that.

[sandpit]

If there was a election today labour would win,for the first year or two there would be little or no policy because the country is so called skint,in other words if the money was there it would be dealt with now for the problems.Labours get out will be we are trying to get out of the mess we were left and you will hear every time,great get out for them and they know it.

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

Sunak has passed the qualification number of 100 Conservative MP nominations and is the first to do so.

103 Sunak
068 Johnson
025 Mordaunt

196 Total nominations so far (55% of Conservative MPs)
161 Yet To nominate
357 Conservative MPs

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

Latest score at the time of this post.

105 Sunak
069 Johnson
025 Mordaunt

199 Total nominations so far (56% of Conservative MPs)
158 Yet To nominate
357 Conservative MPs

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

If 3 candidates get 100 or more nominations there will then be 2 rounds of leadership contest. The first round is of Conservative MPs. This results in the 3rd placed candidate being eliminated. The second round is that the Conservative party membership decides which of the remaining 2 candidates becomes leader.

If only 2 candidates get 100 or more nominations then the Conservative party membership decides which of the 2 candidates becomes leader.

If only 1 candidate gets 100 or more nominations that person becomes leader.

Sunak has more than 100 nominations and it seems likely that Johnson will get 100 or more nominations. So the Conservative party membership would almost certainly make Johnson the winner. That would cause massive upheaval in the Conservative Parliamentary Party. Some Conservative MPs would resign the whip, still being MPs but no longer Conservative MPs. Some Conservative MPs would resign from their seats, causing by-elections. Half of the Conservative Parliamentary party would be aghast and oppose Johnson.

Latest score at the time of this post.

106 Sunak
069 Johnson
025 Mordaunt

200 Total nominations so far (56% of Conservative MPs)
157 Yet To nominate
357 Conservative MPs