
Originally Posted by
Red Zone
I've said it before and will say it again, the Scottish electorate is split into three camps.
The first is hardcore independence supporters and will vote YES/SNP/Alba no matter what they say, what they do or who the leader is (and won't give a shyte about the gender bill as you say). Probably about 40% of the electorate.
The second is hardcore unionists and will vote NO/Tory/Labour/LibDem no matter what they say, what they do or who the leader is (and won't really give a shyte about the gender bill but will use it to batter the SNP Government over the head with). Probably about 40% of the electorate
The third and fundamentally the most important camp is those that could be persuaded either way and almost by definition isn't that bothered about independence one way or another. They probably aren't that bothered about the gender bill as their concerns are around paying their bills, getting a doctor's/hospital appointment (for them or elderly parents), their kids' schooling etc etc.
The problem since 2014 is that the SNP has pretty much only focused on the first camp, the unionist parties have pretty much only focused on the second camp and the third camp is largely ignored.
The next SNP leader if they have any sense will spend their entire time and efforts on things that matter to the third camp if they want any realistic chance of independence any time soon and should take the first camp for granted as who else will they vote for i.e. don't pander to that first camp by focusing huge time and effort on things like GRA.
Happy to be shot at for these views but that's what would seem sensible to me.