I donÂ’t think you can infer anything about the result of the Tory leadership election apart from the fact that a majority of the membership wanted Badenoch instead of Jenrick to be leader. If you pushed me IÂ’d say from what I know of Tory members they prefer a strong, possibly authoritarian image which she has successfully cultivated, based on not much imo.
With regards to ethnic minorities voting for Trump, IÂ’d say theyÂ’re as susceptible to right wing populism as every other group, those itÂ’s probably unwise to treat them as a homogeneous group as everyone has their individual reasons for why they vote as they do. People love simplistic answers to complex problems and Trump is as good as anyone else to providing those. Issues like immigration, international trade, the climate emergency, and the size of the state involve trade offs that politicians like Trump pretend donÂ’t exist. I think heÂ’ll be an even bigger disaster than the first time around, IÂ’d have even taken a Tory government over here if it meant a defeat for him..
Just read a different explanation for TrumpÂ’s win which I think is worth sharing;
- [ ] The current prevailing theory about Trump's victory is that most Americans, irked by an unpleasant encounter with inflation, cast an anti-incumbent vote without giving much thought to the consequences of that vote for US democracy. I don't totally buythis whoops! theory. My sense is that, in this era of the Internet, there are millions more fascists in this country than people think, young men in particular. And I believe that many more millions are fascinated by Trump not for his supposed business prowess but for his transparent wish to hurt others. He is an evil guy, a villain— and many Americans are excited by it. Harris and the Democrats, by contrast, are boring, boring, boring. In this sense, the election was like a choice between four more years of church or four years of violent entertainment.
- [ ] Nihilistic consumerism, as much as authoritarianism, prevailed. Of course, political science is not designed to investigate this kind of stuff. The clearest insights we have come from the realm of philosophy and literature. Hannah Arendt and Primo Levi did not rely on focus groups




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