Quote Originally Posted by BigFatPie View Post
Aside from at least trying to maintain the principle that countries shouldnt be rewarded for invasions, theres no reason why a well supported Ukraine couldnt see off Russia in the medium to long term.

A lot of informed opinion is that Russia is running out of both manpower and cash. See the collapse of their support for Assad in Syria as evidence for this.
They are struggling with manpower (sending people in to battle on crutches for example) but for them that's culturally acceptable somehow, and more of a medium term problem logistically for the reasons Queensland mentioned.

They are definitely running out of hardware though. You can quite easily find videos of Russians being sent into battle on golf carts, tractors and whatever else. They have been burning through Soviet era stockpiles of tanks which can be monitored from satellite images and are almost depleted.

A ceasefire would be absolutely great for Putin now so he can restock for round 3. Maintaining supplies to Ukraine or even increasing them would be a nightmare for him.