
Originally Posted by
sinkov
What I do believe OC is that the death figures are a nonsense. If you look back at post 1297 you'll see I concede the difficulty of compiling accurate figures, and what I point out is that the figures are not accurate, they are fantasy figures, and no one will admit they have not got the faintest idea how many deaths are being caused by Covid.
For a start the government refuses to take into account the number of false positive tests, because if they did, they know their figures would rapidly become a laughing stock. The government doesn't know the % of false positives, they admitted this in response to a question in the Commons a few weeks ago. I would imagine they could find out if they wanted, but they probably don't want to know. This is from The Lancet September 20th,
"The current rate of operational false-positive swab tests in the UK is unknown; preliminary estimates show it could be somewhere between 0·8% and 4·0%. This rate could translate into a significant proportion of false-positive results daily due to the current low prevalence of the virus in the UK population, adversely affecting the positive predictive value of the test. Considering that the UK National Health Service employs 1·1 million health-care workers, many of whom have been exposed to COVID-19 at the peak of the first wave, the potential disruption to health and social services due to false positives could be considerable."
So let's have a look, for an example, at the figures for England a month ago, 12th November,
Tests 244,963
Cases 21,918
Take the lowest 0.8% estimate and you have 2,000 false positives out of the 22,000 cases. Take the highest 4.0% estimate and you have just under 9,800 false positives. So of the 22,000 cases reported that day, somewhere between 2,000 and 10,000 were false positives, but no one actually knows just how many. So let's take the middle ground and say 6.000 false positives, that's just in one day, in England. 6,000 people given the false information that they have Covid when they don't. That should put the fear of death into them, it also means they'll have to isolate with the knock on effects for their jobs, their children, their wives/husbands, their friends, and if not their sanity, their peace of mind at least will be shot. And for what, for nothing, it was a false positive. 6,000 people, possibly more, in just one day, in England alone.
That's why I find these fictitious death figures problematic OC, nothing to do with the government trying to inflate the total, if only that's all it was about.