I don't blame most people for voting for Brexit... the Leave Campaign presented a seductive vision where we could have all the advantages of being in the EU while being free to make more of our own rules and make more trade deals outside of the EU. They need us more than we need them, they said... easiest trade deal in the world, they said. We hold all the cards, they said. Sunlight uplands, they said. If - instinctively, you're not an internationalist and don't feel European, what's not to like? Why wouldn't you vote for that?
Problem is, all this turned out to be untrue. I don't blame the people who believed it... I blame the people who sold it. Either... (a) they knew it was nonsense, but said it anyway for personal or political advantage; (b) in spite of being in positions of responsibility and influence, they were still ill-informed; or (c) a mixture of both, held together with wishful thinking.
The other people I blame are the media, for failing to hold the liars and the charlatans to proper account. And the 'Remain' campaign who failed to nail the nonsense, and worse, failed to make a clear, positive case for remaining in terms of our freedoms, shared sovereignty, and shared prosperity. And some of the worst of the "remainers", who'd rather sneer at people who voted leave than understand the reasons and learn any lessons. Just because all racists voted for Brexit, doesn't mean everyone who voted for Brexit is a racist.
Oh, and David Cameron. For allowing what was a niche issue for most voters outside the endless Conservative Party psychodrama and putting party interest before country and gambling on a referendum (for a second time) and then making a horrible mess of it.
And as a result of all this, we end up not with a Conservative government, but with a Conservative government drawn from a sub-section of their party, with all or most of the pro-Europeans, the One Nations, the sensible, reasonable Tories purged or driven out. It's the Tory equivalent of a Corbyn-only version of Labour. And the talent pool on that wing of the Tory party... it's not deep. The same would be true of a government drawn solely from the left of the Labour Party.
At the same time, with the Brexit campaign and Johnson, we've had the Trump-isation of British politics. We've always had spin, but the Tories plumbed new depths with dishonest campaigning, lying to the Queen, lying to Parliament, lying about PPE contracts, and basically trying to defend the indefensible.
The Tories need to go. They need a long spell in opposition to recover their energies and re*****ise their talent pool - though I fear if/when they lose they'll only get worse. Anyone imagine the next Tory leader is going to be as sane as Sunak, who is at least on nodding acquaintance with reality, rather than some Tufton Street thinktank crank with reality-resistent economic policies like Truss.
Time for a Labour government. I'd agree about not getting your hopes up... plans are uninspiring at the moment, but Labour tend to be ultra-cautious about what they promise because the vast majority of the media are against them, and that's only got worse over recent years. They're hoping to do as little as possible and say as little as possible, but I hope what we'll see is a more ambitious and radical Labour party in government. That's what I really regret about New Labour... having done a lot of brilliant stuff (Sure Start, Northern Ireland, regional devolution, minimum wage and so on) very quietly, they didn't kick on and become more radical... having established their competence, going to the electorate and saying "we've shown we can be trusted, trust us to do more."
Another reason not to get your hopes up is because everything is such a mess and there's no easy fix for any of it, beyond putting medium and long term plans in place for the NHS/social care/productivity, alleviating poverty, trying to find a fair way to move to zero carbon where the costs fall on those with the ability to pay. Labour can't fix Brexit damage (not yet, anyway), they can't solve Ukraine, and they can't undo post-pandemic damage and disruption.



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