As promised/threatened I am persiting with my stats based end of season planner, and on the basis of the past five games form, plus current points attained, minus the 9 points Derby expect to lose, and on that basis we survive.

17th Swansea 1.2 points = 40.8 points + 12 points = 52.8 points
18th Derby: 1.6 points = 54.4points +3 points -9 points = 48.4 points
19th Preston .8 points = 27.2 points + 12 points = 39.2 points
20th Hull City 0.8 points = 27.2 points + 9 points = 36.2 points
21st Peterborough 0.8 points = 27.2 points + 8 points = 35.2 points
22nd Birmingham .2 points = 6.8 points +12 points =18.8 points
23rd Barnsley 0.2 points = 6.8 points + 8 points = 14.8 points
24th Cardiff 0 points = 0 points + 11 points = 11 points

World logistics are a disaster, get your order of bunting in early