Ok. I’ve taken some time out to look for some figures, which wasn’t a quick job.
As I understand it, your position is that the pit closures that followed the strike were not carried out on economic grounds. Why do you think they were closed? The NUM was a spent force after 1985 and it is inconceivable that they could turn out the lights in the fashion that they had before.
As previously mentioned, the pit closures of the 80s followed many more closures over previous decades. It was an industry in decline – gas production from coal ended with the tapping of North Sea reserves. Iron and steel production in the UK were in decline:
In 1963, 63% of the energy used in the UK was derived from coal. By 1973 that figure had fallen to 37.6% and by 1983, it had reached 35.6%. And that is despite steps taken by the government to prop the industry up. In 1980 alone, the Thatcher government paid out £50m in subsidies to stop companies switching from coal to oil for their energy.
The profitability of coal had also fallen. In 1976/77 5 of the 12 NCB areas were loss making. By 79/80 that figure was up to 9 out of 12. By 1982/83, just two areas were in profit – North Notts and North Derbyshire (with only North Notts being consistently in profit). 75% of pits were loss making and the industry had to be propped up by the government to the tune of £875m - £2.3m per day – a lot of money in 1980s terms.
And all of the above has to be considered in light of the fact that the British coal market was rigged in favour of British miners. Whilst there was no actual legislation in place to force it to do so, the government had required the CEGB to enter into an agreement with the NCB whereunder 95% of the coal it used to generate electricity had to be from British mines. That is despite the fact that British coal was more expensive that coal available on the world market from Australia, South Africa and America.
I can’t see how anyone could really think the situation above could be allowed to continue. It makes no sense on any level unless the NCB was to be turned into a giant job creation scheme.
I am also not sure that there were any prospects of any consultation over closures in 1984. As you have noted earlier the thread, there had been change of management at the NUM, with the moderate Gormley being replaced by the not quite so moderate Scargill. No government could possibly provide the guarantee that no pits would be closed on economic grounds that he demanded. Couple that ridiculous demand with your admission that ‘miners don't back down’ and it is hard not to conclude that there was no room for any reasonable discussion.
I have looked at Silverwood and you are right, it was a gem amongst British mines. In 1982/3 it was highly productive and making a profit of £15.10 per tonne – significantly better that its nearest rival – Manton at £6.60 per tonne. To put those figures into context the worst performer in that year was Abertillery, which was losing at the rate of £63.10 per tonne. Despite that, the guarantee demanded by Scargill would have required that Abertillery be kept open….
I can’t find figures for the year that Silverwood was closed, but note that in effect, it was closed a part of a consolidation exercise, with the coal that was being mined from there being accessed from Maltby. You will be aware that Maltby was closed five years ago in 2013 in the light of adverse geological conditions.
On climate change, you should have been paying more attention to Mrs Thatcher:
https://theecologist.org/2018/aug/24...climate-change
Her speech to the UN in 1989 included:
We are seeing a vast increase in the amount of carbon dioxide reaching the atmosphere. The annual increase is three billion tonnes: and half the carbon emitted since the Industrial Revolution still remains in the atmosphere.
At the same time as this is happening, we are seeing the destruction on a vast scale of tropical forests which are uniquely able to remove carbon dioxide from the air.
Every year an area of forest equal to the whole surface of the United Kingdom is destroyed. At present rates of clearance we shall, by the year 2000, have removed 65 per cent of forests in the humid tropical zones.
The consequences of this become clearer when one remembers that tropical forests fix more than ten times as much carbon as do forests in the temperate zones...
Let me quote from a letter I received only two weeks ago, from a British scientist on board a ship in the Antarctic Ocean: he wrote, “In the Polar Regions today, we are seeing what may be early signs of man-induced climatic change. Data coming in from Halley Bay and from instruments aboard the ship on which I am sailing show that we are entering a Spring Ozone depletion which is as deep as, if not deeper, than the depletion in the worst year to date. It completely reverses the recovery observed in 1988. The lowest recording aboard this ship is only 150 Dobson units for Ozone total content during September, compared with 300 for the same season in a normal year.” That of course is a very severe depletion.
He also reports on a significant thinning of the sea ice, and he writes that, ''in the Antarctic, Our data confirm that the first-year ice, which forms the bulk of sea ice cover, is remarkably thin and so is probably unable to sustain significant atmospheric warming without melting. Sea ice, separates the ocean from the atmosphere over an area of more than 30 million square kilometres. It reflects most of the solar radiation falling on it, helping to cool the earth's surface. If this area were reduced, the warming of earth would be accelerated due to the extra absorption of radiation by the ocean.''