
Originally Posted by
MadAmster
I know it's a results based business and out last 8 results have been negative but, managing and/or coaching a squad is a complicated process.
Let's look at the League defeats. Of the 7, 6 were against teams in the top 9 at the time of the game. Where we have been this past month in terms of injuries, not a single game there where we wouldn't have suspected we may well lose. The other? Cardiff who made it 8 games unbeaten thanks, in part, to a wrongly disallowed effort from Yates and a couple of minutes of kamikaze "defending". Eejits on "social media" fail to look at the entire picture. They focus singularly on the result. Behind every result there's a plethora of reasons. Unfortunately, for me, the UEFA B course taught me to look for the reasons and, when I was coaching, to address those reasons.
We can't do much about refs or their assistants(Norwich, Cardiff as examples).
Injuries? If it's training routines that are helping cause them we could change that but, the coaching staff are all qualified. The medical staff are all qualified. The scientific crew are all qualified. They are all also professionals and I'd like to think that if any of them had the suspicion that the training was the cause, they'd open their mouths.
PW took over part way into our first season in L1. He took over a L1 squad built on zero transfer outlay. We narrowly missed the plaoyffs, finishing 7th. About half that L1 squad was out of contract. They were replaced by more L1 level players, again with a view to gaining promotion. We did it finishing 2nd.
Back in the Championship with a L1 squad. The club had a limited budget to spend on transfer fees. Spent, IMO, reasonably sensibly, on JWZ, Ebou and Kenzo. Cash and Nels were also of the "right" quality. The rest have been injured and/or still L1 quality. We may be "Derby County" but even we can't turn a squad of 75% L1 standard players into a midtable or better Champ side in season 1. Cash has gone. Clarke, Lars and Langas in and we still have money for the wide man and striker we still want. Get those in and we don't know what will happen results wise.
The next games? Norwich are 8th so no great expectation of a win there. After that we have 15 games left, 12 of which are against teams currently in the bottom 13. Teams we need to get points off or we are going down. With the 2 new centre halves, Lars plus whatever we get in today and the walking wounded getting fit again, who knows what the run in will bring?
Why do we have a mainly L1 standard squad? We had 2 years of being restricted to freebies, be they on loan or permanent signings. No transfer fees, no loan fees and no agent fees. That drastically reduces the size of the pool of players you can attract. Most of them are free for a reason and it's not because they are world beaters.
Knight left after 1 season in L1. he wanted Champ football and was, IIRC, out of contract. Bird wanted Champ football, was in the last year of his contract and wasn't guaranteed to get back up with Derby. He chose to leave. Cashin got yet another offer to go to BHA. This time we were in a financial position to hold out for maybe 10M which we could reinvest in the squad. 750K for Clarke. A rumoured 3.5M to 4M for Langas. Whatever fee we paid for Lars was probably already in the bank as we were adamant Cashin was going nowhere. In the end it looks like selling Cash makes good business sense. Sorry rA but I find the "got rid of" quote way off the mark.
The reasons I have put in this post are exactly what the detractors on "socials" are choosing to ignore. The amazing thing being that, back in August, most fans were targeting survival as the aim for the season. Recent changes in playing staff plus the return of the walking wounded could well be what we need to achieve survival. Nothing's guaranteed but, I think we've had a decent, promising window thus far and a new wide man and striker would be the icing on the cake.
My glass is still half full and there's good reason. I think Lars will get goals. I think Yates playing alongside him rather than him being the #9 will see him do better. A new wide man for the ammunition for the 2 of them would help as I don't think we'll see CBT again this season, if at all and NM and Barks haven't exactly set the world on fire this season, probably because they are (no longer?) Champ quality.
We could still go down, however, for reasons listed above, I think we'll survive. Unload more L1 players ij the summer and get Champ level ones in, thereby improving what looks like an already improved squad for the 2nd half of the season. No new wide man and/or no new striker in would not be helpful but also not disastrous.